Bernie's Not Giving Up...This Morning

Super Tuesday to you, Friends,

Though his path is as narrow as a razor's edge, The Bern is hanging tough and vows to fight on to the end. Oh, there is one caveat. His campaign says he may reconsider if he loses big tonight.

The thing is, Bernie Sanders may well lose all five states in today's contests, but because all of them award delegates proportionally, he may not take a knockout punch.

That means, a small loss tonight means Bernie will carry on.

It also means neither candidate will necessarily get enough committed delegates to win a first convention vote, setting up a contested convention.

That seems to be Bernie's best hope right now, and his strategy.

I'm getting frustrated. My voters want to vote for me, but they can't
even come to the polls. What's up with that?

Sanders' arguments in a contested convention would be shaky at present. Hillary Clinton has earned hundreds' more pledged delegates and millions' more actual votes.

With the California primary coming up, those numbers could change, albeit probably not significantly enough in Sanders' favor.

Presently, Bernie is propping up his continuing campaign on national polls showing his better positives than Hillary's, bigger leads over any Republican contender than she has, and his ability to pull in Independents and first-time voters.

All of today's contests except for Rhode Island are open to only party members, and these are the type of primaries that have thwarted Sanders. His strongest supporters and largest voting bloc, Independents, are excluded from voting in them.

Among registered Democrats, Bernie has not performed well, especially with African Americans and Latinos.

I don't know if the Sanders campaign has targeted a particular number of delegates they can afford to bleed and viably stay in the race. I suspect they have, and we may learn tonight what that level of pain is.

It will be fairly early when we'll know if the contests are close or are blowouts. All the opinion polls predict the latter, and if that proves true, Sanders will probably end his campaign.

Bernie has shown himself to be a formidable candidate and has powerfully steered the Democratic party to the left..

His numbers tonight will determine his role come tomorrow.