Sunday, October 30, 2016

The Math Never Lies

Only eight days to go, Friends,

The latest Hillary Clinton email controversy may turn out to be a true 'tempest in a teapot'. If anything, it may be a good idea for Hillary to put Huma Abedin, her closest confidant, on paid leave until after the election,

But, as of this morning, not much has really changed in the dynamics of this election. And I can't see the trends moving much. unless the FBI goes public with an email from Abedin's computer that's an absolute bombshell. I doubt that will happen.

So here's the fact: Hillary Clinton is poised to win this election by a comfortable margin, if not an absolute landslide.

No matter what the numbers are indicating, don't sit on the sidelines.
Get out and vote!
I base this exclusively on the math.

I spent hours poring over the numbers this weekend, and base my above statements only on actual votes in the moderate-turnout presidential election of 2012.

One hundred twenty-six million voters cast ballots in that election, and I predict at least an equivalent turnout in this one. A larger turnout would favor the Democrats, an unlikely smaller turnout the Republicans.

Early voting indicates more than a moderate turnout.

The make-up of the electorate has changed since 2012 with millions more minority and left-leaning millennials registered to vote. They are not likely Trump voters.

We're not going to even factor this in because. despite these trends to the left, the raw numbers tell the whole story. The media and the Democrats would prefer you don't know them--each for their own reasons.

This election is over, but the media doesn't want you to know it for selfish reasons.Who'd still be watching?

The Democratic party doesn't want to acknowledge it publicly for fear of discouraging voter turnout.

But here are the numbers:

Of the at least 126 million who will cast votes, fewer than 92 million will be white--42.5 million men and 49.5 million women. Black, Latino, and Asian voters will tally at least 15 million, 14 million, and five million respectively.

Assuming that Hillary will only get 25% of the white male vote (and there are more registered Democrats than that), 55% of the white female vote (and she's killing those numbers), 90% of the black vote, 60% of the Latino vote, and 80% of the Asian vote, Hillary will win by nearly a million votes.

All of my estimates above are conservative and below actual polling. Hillary is even trending at better than 90% of the black vote--and the case for a margin of victory of 11 million votes can easily be made within the current trends and using the same numbers.

That's the actual math, and those numbers don't lie. And they're likely to be even better for Mrs.Clinton than I've stated.

So, if you're not a Hillary supporter, read them and weep.

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