Thursday, March 31, 2016

Moving Day

Dear Friends,

It's not yet 6 a.m., and we've already been up for an hour working. We're moving from Bellingham, WA to Las Vegas today, and I'll try to post later from the road. Meantime, Donald Trump has some real 'splainin'  to do to American women whom he'd like to see punished. More to come.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Big Move Coming

Hi from Las Vegas Friends,

So, I'm sitting here at my favorite Starbucks in the whole world, a photo of which is beneath, and I'm thinking how lucky I am to have made it here  through 2,000 miles of absolute torture in a 45-year-old British roadster.

This picture proves that even Starbucks can be politicized.

I now have my own 'Cold Mountain' story after suffering a genuinely cold mountain, driving to and through Flagstaff, AZ yesterday in the worst winter dust and wind storm I've ever been in...and I've been in some doozies. It equalled the blizzard that stranded me for two days in the Texas panhandle.

My little old red lady behaved fairly well after eating up two starters along the way, and now I have a genuine adventure to talk and write about.

One's mind really wanders when driving alone through endless desert. I thought a lot about an argument and bet I have with an expat retired American dentist we'll call George, who I became close to while living in the Middle East.

He hates this blog (although he usually reads it).

George is a curmudgeon. According to another mutual friend, he's best described as having "brittle charm."

Old George is a wingnut to the max and believes every anti-Obama conspiracy theory that comes down the pike. He emails me the latest and most outrageous, and like his preferred candidate, doubles down on them even after they've been thoroughly debunked.

He'll be a very happy camper when Donald Trump gets the GOP nomination. But George won't be so happy on the first Wednesday of November, 2016.

It's not because Trump will lose to whomever is up against him (America generally comes to its senses in important elections), but because the day before we actually went to the polls and voted.

You see, George is so convinced that America is on the verge of going to hell in a hand basket that he bet me President Obama will declare martial law and suspend the presidential election.

If the election doesn't come off on time, I bet that I would take George out to the most expensive dinner at any restaurant he chooses, anywhere in the world. I will  fly back to the Middle East to do it, too.

Unfortunately for me, if I win, I still have to fly back to the Middle East to collect my dinner. But it will be worth it!

This afternoon, I hop on a jet back to Washington state, to drive back here tomorrow in our real car with the three loves of my life: my wife and two cats.

I'm working up a big appetite.


Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Calling BS on the Hillary Campaign

Good morning again Friends,

I apologize for no post yesterday. After spending two days stranded in the no-stoplight town of Vega, TX with my little red car broken down with a bum starter, I was able to get her push started and back tracked 35 miles to a repair shop in Amarillo.

A lot of nail biting and $198 later, she's back on the road, and we should make Las Vegas by this afternoon.

A big shout out from Grants, New Mexico to my wife Lana and my close friend and dedicated follower Bonnie, who lives about 40 miles up the road in Gallup. She's a genuine conservative and true patriot, and is digging deep trying to find something about the presumptive GOP nominee that she can like. So far, no luck.

As for Hillary Clinton's campaign, with the FBI investigation of the candidate's private email server reportedly ramping up, and she having been decimated in four out of the last five contests against Bernie Sanders, now her campaign is trying to dodge a debate before the delegate-rich New York primary.
C'mon, you don't really want to know what I told Goldman-Sachs. I didn't mean it anyway.
You know, I just say things sometimes. It's all about making the audience like me.
It's not negative to poke holes in your opponent's record. It is pretty much the standard.

What Hillary objects most to is that she has no plausible reason for not releasing the transcripts of the three speeches she gave to Goldman Sachs for $675K. I, personally, would like to know what she said to the kings of Wall Street.

Not releasing the transcripts leaves it open to my imagination, and I can tell you I have a pretty big one.

Bernie is not negative. If you want to see negative, just look across the aisle.

Hillary is vulnerable, and she's in damage control mode trying to plug the ever-increasing holes in a sinking boat.

Ducking genuine issues may make it easier for the candidate to stick to her narrative, but obviously the public isn't buying it judging from Bernie's recent landslide wins.

Hillary's strategy sounds like whining to me, and a whiny president is not an image that this country can afford to project.






Sunday, March 27, 2016

Cruz Using My Material is Sleazy

Welcome to the bold new week Friends,

Yesterday turned out to be one hell of a day on the road. The MGB started right up, so I pulled into the Circle K across the street to gas up.

I got back in and turned the key...nothing.

To make a long story short, my 45-year-old baby needed a new starter, and I got to spend a really wonderful day in Oklahoma City with a tow-truck driver and good ol' boy named Dwayne...who after towing me to a recommended mechanic who treated him shabbily for not putting my car in the right spot, decided to fix my car himself.

It turned out, Dwayne was a really fine mechanic who's restored more than 35 vehicles, several of which have won awards around the country. He determined I needed a new starter, and managed to have one delivered to the local O'Reilly Auto parts for me.

We had to wait several hours for it to arrive, and Dwayne and I spent hours looking through his massive collection of cool stuff: cars, trucks, bikes and birds (exotic and very verbal).

After spending most of his Saturday with me and my ailing ride, he had me back on the road before 3 p.m. He wanted to charge virtually nothing for his services. I didn't let that happen, and we were both extremely happy when I left--that is, until I hit a blizzard at dusk just west of Amarillo.

Near zero visibility forced me off the road in a little town with a motel called Vega, TX. And here I sit this morning, writing from the Bonanza Motel.

With a 42-in.brand new flatscreen with DirecTV and 200+ hi-def channels, a hot shower and comfy California King, it turned out to deserve the name.

But Lyin' Ted deserves a different one.
Shhh! There's even more about us that you don't know
yet. But please don't tell Donald Trump 


In Friday's post. I used the adjective "sleazy" to describe the way the top two GOP candidates are trying to frame each other's marriage. Each is trying to one-up the other on just how sleazy their respective marriages are.

This morning, and mind you no one else in media has used the term because they don't have the same journalistic latitude of my blog, Ted Cruz has co-opted my word.

Look, I know I'm just a blogger, and I know that as of this morning I have just 2,100+ readers, but Ted, if you're going to use my material, at least give me some props.

Bernie, the same goes for you. In your Seattle speech on Friday, you used three of my lines verbatim.

Though I'm extremely flattered you're paying attention, you guys should give credit where credit is due.

Friday, March 25, 2016

By Name, By Nature

Dear Friends,

Driving through Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma today, I was truly in awe of just how big this country is. I can't say it's all beautiful, but huge swaths of it are absolutely astounding.

I got to see the Flint Hills of Kansas for the first time--miles and miles of untouched rolling black and green hills that comprise a unique national wilderness.

Drivng through Kansas City, I witnessed one of the country's most beautiful cities resplendent in springtime. And I was totally impressed by the magnificent wind farms on the border of Kansas and Oklahoma that seem to go on forever.
At rest for the night in Oklahoma City, this little
45-year-old cream puff has seen a lot in two days.

Yes, this country is really, really big. But by contrast, the Republican presidential campaign has become really, really small. It is not befitting of a country of such greatness.

It's now boiled down to a pissing match between the party's two leading candidates over whose marriage is sleazier.

Today, The National Enquirer broke a story claiming that it has evidence that Ted Cruz has had at least five affairs while unhappily married to wife Heidi.

In a normal election cycle, this revelation, if true, would sink the candidacy of a bible-thumping right winger like Cruz. This, however, is not a normal election cycle by any stretch of the imagination, and the story may just pass.

Of course, Cruz denies the report and blames it on Donald Trump's close relationship with the editor of the Enquirer--and this is true--by the name of David Pecker.

I'd love to make a hundred off-color remarks about this guy's name, and I'm sure he's heard them all by now, so I won't.

Let's just say that this incredibly mean-spirited attack was stamped for approval by a guy named Pecker.

By name, by nature.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Driving through Driving Rain Dampens Thoughts

Good evening Friends,

I drove a 45-year-old convertible two-seat MGB through a driving rain for more than 150 miles today. I witnessed the aftermath of two tractor trailers colliding, rolling, and completely blocking the other side of Interstate 70, due to that same rain.

My morning was a real nail-biter, but I made it to my hotel in Columbia, MO safe and sound; cold, slightly wet, but safe and sound.

My thoughts, this evening, are for those who did not make it home safe and sound yesterday in Brussels. Their day probably started a lot like mine, anticipating and preparing for a trip.

But for the grace of the supreme being of the universe, my day did not end like theirs.

My drive was just like this, only with water dripping everywhere  from the
convertible top (even though it's not 45-years-old like the rest of the car).
When you drive alone for eight hours, you have a lot of time to think. But no matter how hard I thought, I couldn't come up with a solution to the world's problems.

And you know what? I don't think any of our presidential candidates really have that solution either, no matter how hard they try to convince us they do.

Donald Trump says he wants to nuke the terrorists. Yeah, that would work...not.

Other candidates want to recruit more middle eastern forces to fight the battle. Sure, just look how they're flocking to fight the terrorists now. Expecting an about face is like expecting GOP voters to all-of-a-sudden change their minds and back an establishment candidate.

So, I guess expecting any candidate to make our problems go away is about as realistic as thinking that a world without problems can exist.

I just spent three years living in the middle east, and I can tell you first hand that the situation is complicated beyond any one person's complete comprehension.

Beware of any candidate who says he has the answer.






Thanks to my 2,045 Followers

Good morning Friends,

I'm on the road this morning between Fort Wayne, IN and Columbia, MO, my stopping point for the evening. I'll be posting from there later today.

Meanwhile, I'd like to thank my 2,000+ followers for making this the fastest-growing blog on the worldwide web. I'll keep posting, if you keep reading!

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

No Surprises in Yesterday's Contests

Happy Hump Day Friends,

I'm sitting here at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas this morning, waiting for a 9 a.m. flight to Indianapolis. This may be my final post for the next four days because I'll be on a road trip driving a restored 1971 MGB from Fort Wayne, IN to our new home here.

Meantime, the results of yesterday's primaries and caucuses were only surprising in the magnitude of Bernie Sanders' victories in Idaho and Utah, both open caucus states, where he trounced Hillary Clinton by more than 50 points in each. The people are speaking out, and it's not for Hillary.
Didn't have enough bandwidth for two photos this morning, so I
created this. Now here's a candidate that can't possible lose.

She managed only to win in Arizona, a closed primary where the majority of registered Democrats in a very red state fall right into her demographic--old and effete.

Bernie's big wins were just what he needed to start eating into Hillary's unearned lead, consisting of mostly Super Delegates. These are party regulars and elected officials who hop to the party's commands, and at this point they're still backing a loser.

Watch for Sanders to make an impressive sweep of western states, starting with Washington state on Saturday. He'll also take Oregon and California quite easily. This will cause a great tumult within the blue party leadership and place Hillary's phony delegate lead under the pundits' microscope.

Fortunately for Bernie, if he keeps winning with margins like those in Idaho and Utah, Hillary won't be able to hang on to the lead very much longer...even with her Super Delegates.

The GOP contests went pretty much as expected. Trump won by double digits over both Ted Cruz and John Kasich combined in Arizona, where the Mormon Church is not a big influence.

In Utah, where arch-conservative Mormons run the state with an iron fist, the church openly campaigned against Trump, using  a recording of favorite son Mitt Romney to robo-call registered Republicans, predominantly Mormon, in support of Ted Cruz.

The implication was clear. They'd have some 'splainin' to do in their church wards if they didn't vote for Cruz.  So, of course, they did.

This won't be enough to save the Cruz campaign from the Trump steamroller. As I said in yesterday's post, Trump is getting a bump from yesterday's terrorist attacks in Brussels, and he's got until the next contest on April 5th in Wisconsin to work it.

Interestingly, the rest of the media has finally caught up to me, and is openly talking about a Trump/Cruz ticket, a prediction I made on the first day of this blog in mid January when there were still 17 GOP candidates.

See, I promised to give you information that would make you look like a genius. Hey Michael Smerconish, I hope you're paying attention. I'm still waiting for my guest commentator slot on your show.

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Belgium Attacks Trump Everything

We woke up this morning to another string of horrific terrorist attacks in Europe; this time in Brussels, Belgium.

It is already clear that the attacks were carried out by ISIS, and are positively the work of Islamist extremists. The reports of this disgusting performance by the lowest element of human existence are preempting all other news.

This is happening while President Obama is on an historic visit to Cuba, and it's another multi-state primary and caucus day for both parties.

I can't help but think that today's events in Belgium will only wind up helping Donald Trump.

Pick your poison. Either way, you get the boogeyman.

If the level of American fear following the ISIS-inspired attack in San Bernardino, CA had eased in the several months of relative calm that followed it, this morning's blood fest will reignite that anxiety. And the candidate that has been the toughest on radical Islam is going to reap the benefits.

If there was any question yesterday if Donald Trump would attain the 1,237 votes needed for nomination on the first GOP convention ballot, thanks to a little help from ISIS, it's been all but erased.

The stars have aligned in Trump's favor, and I predict a sweeping victory for him in today's contests in Arizona and Utah.  The rabid opponent of radical Islam and main proponent of secure borders has been given a great gift by our enemies.

As my late dad used to say, "It's better to be lucky than good."

Monday, March 21, 2016

Warren Takes Trump to Task on Twitter

Good Monday Friends,

As if on cue, just two days after I posted Newt Gingrich's comments about Senator Elizabeth Warren being drafted as the Democratic nominee, this morning she fired the first shot in a Twitter war with Donald Trump.
I heard that Donald Trump doesn't even know who Senator Elizabeth
Warren is. Maybe I can help with that.

This maneuver landed her on the national news for the first time in months.

One has to wonder if the party is pushing her to raise her exposure prior to the July 28th Philadelphia convention, where according to Newt, she could wind up being the party's go-to Hillary replacement.

So it would help if people knew her, or at least something about her, and having a high-profile Twitter battle with Donald Trump is certainly one way to do it.

One of my most loyal readers commented that Senator Warren has flatly turned down being considered for the presidential race over and over again. But insiders are reporting today that she may be warming to the idea.

We all know that with regard to running for office, a politician's denial of interest is ephemeral at best and is usually just a snapshot of his or her feelings in the context of that particular moment.

The door is generally left open just a crack, and with Donald Trump getting dangerously closer to the GOP nod with every passing primary, Warren is peering through it with great interest.

Sunday, March 20, 2016

Trampling on Trump's Rights is Un-American

Happy new week Friends,

Do I really have to defend Donald Trump here? I think I do.

There's not much I agree with about what Donald Trump tells his supporters. I don't think the solution to all of our immigration problems is a giant wall paid for by Mexico. I also don't believe there should be a religious litmus test for people trying to come to the United States.

I don't think that suggesting he'd like to hit someone in the face is a good idea, especially in light of one of his followers carrying out his fantasy for him.
A typical scene showing how they decide who votes for whom at this year's GOP caucuses.
Protesters have adopted the same tactics after seeing how effective they are.

That having been said, Donald Trump has every right to speak whatever's on his mind, within reasonable limits.

Those who are trying to stop him from talking are being more egregious in multiples than he is. In my opinion, trying to block someone's right to peaceably assemble and say what he's thinking is denying him of the most important right in our Bill of Rights...and that is un-American.

Those who support this kind of law breaking because they feel their message is more important than Donald Trump's are dead wrong and are foisting shame upon the honest opposition.

Organized peaceful protest has a place everywhere in this country. When I was a young man I took part in many, and it led to the end of the Vietnam War.

But the kind of protesting in vogue today--illegally blocking roads to Trump rallies, sending bevies of thugs into them to shout down the candidate,  threatening violence if the candidate even shows up--is not a legitimate nor effective method.

The voting booth is.

Can we please get back to some sanity here?

Let Donald Trump speak his mind. His own words are the rope that will hang him. He doesn't need anyone's help, and protesters acting like idiots under the world's microscope only give Trump ammunition for his cannons.

If protests like yesterday's in Arizona keep up, they're likely to have the opposite effect of what they're trying to accomplish.

Trump doesn't need sympathy votes. Stop helping him out.

Friday, March 18, 2016

Newt Said Something Really Smart?

You gotta give me some credit. When I really
use my head even I sometimes get it right. 
Happy Friday Friends,

Here in Laughlin, NV everything is USA all the way. Almost all the big-name acts that come to the town's relatively new outdoor event center are country acts. For instance, Vince Gill is here this weekend, Miranda Lambert and Brad Paisley are coming up next.

That may explain why FOX News is the only news network available on our hotel's TV. And that's the only reason that I happened to catch their in-house commentator, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrinch, last night.

He said something very interesting.

First of all, Newt happens to think, as I do, that Hillary Clinton's legal problems are eventually going to catch up with her and knock her out of the presidential race.

I'm certain he's more tapped into what's going on behind closed doors in Washington, D.C. than I am, so his words may be more than just idle speculation.

Even if they're not, what followed his first supposition was whom he thought will actually be the Democratic nominee should it not be Hillary. And it was extremely interesting and  insightful.

Newt believes that the Democratic party will not nominate the presumptive next-in-line to Hillary, Bernine Sanders, but go with a compromise candidate. And that choice could be absolutely brilliant.

It's someone who has similiar liberal politics to Sanders, is a rising star within the party, is also a sitting senator, and has the benefit of not being a white male.

Gingrich believes the Democratic nominee will be somone who'll give the Republican nominee, whomever it may be, a tough fight and could emerge as our first female president.

Newt predicts that the nominee who'll be drafted by the Democratic party to replace Hillary Clinton will be none other than...Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren.

From Newt's mouth to God's ear.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Trump Supporters Evoke Darker Times

Good morning Friends,

I met my first ardent Trump supporters yesterday evening. I was playing Blackjack at the Colorado Belle in Laughlin, NV, and I had the great misfortune of sitting betwixt three of them.

These three were really fine examples of what America's become. They were drunk and getting drunker, loud, belligerent, threatening, and were completely flouting the casino's rules--taking each others' chips to bet with, high-fiving across the table, cussing, and accusing anybody whose looks they didn't like of being a Bernie Sanders supporter...GUILTY!
So, I was playing Blackjack with these three guys, and they asked me to leave the
table because I didn't support their leader.
The three were evidently part of the angry working class of Americans, who, if you're not with 'em, you're a Commie. They were so close to the edge of becoming violent that the pit boss was called over at least half a dozen times to protect the young female dealer who was genuinely frightened.

Anyone who sat at the table was given a political litmus test by these three yahoos. God forbid if you didn't support Trump or say you hadn't made up your mind yet.

The dealer tried her best to get them to stop being obnoxious, but this went on for the better part of an hour, until a new pit boss, a guy right out of Goodfellas, had them thrown out of the casino.

There was a collective sigh of relief among the three of us still at the table and the dealer. I hadn't been in such a tense situation in quite awhile. These guys may as well have been wearing brown shirts.

Since when are one's personal politics acceptable public discussion in America?  How dare anyone intimidate anyone else into believing what they do. This kind of thing is not supposed to happen in the greatest democracy in history.

Donald Trump will tell you he's not causing or encouraging this type of behavior, but Herr Drumpf is not discouraging it either.

What's going on in this presidential race is positively frightening. Take it seriously Friends, because bad things are happening fast, and if we don't pay attention, stopping the rise of the Fourth Reich will be like trying to stop a speeding train.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Vote for Hillary or Vote for Trump...Same Difference

Good morning after Friends,

Though the GOP primary went nearly as I predicted, with Trump collecting all but Ohio last night, the Democratic races went way better for Hillary Clinton than I forecasted they would.

On the Republican side, Marco Rubio got drubbed in Florida, and dropped out of the presidential race.

Governor John Kasich, however, managed enough support from his home state of Ohio to stay in the race and keep the GOP picture partly cloudy.

Unless Bernie Sanders can start winning by around 20 points in each of the remaining contests, Hillary will be the Democratic nominee. That is, of course, unless her nagging legal headaches crop up and bite her any time between now and the Democratic convention in late July.

But consider this: a vote for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton in the remaining primaries is truly a vote for Hillary Clinton.

C'mon Hill, You know I love you, and you can't say I never give you anything.

Former Bill Clinton administration official, John Podesta, may have explained what's happening best.

Podesta said Dems who would have, under more normal circumstances, taken a chance on Bernie Sanders, voted for more mainstream Hillary because they're terrified of a Trump presidency. They believe Hillary has a better chance of beating him than Bernie does.

The irony is twofold: first, Sanders actually polls better against Trump than Hillary does, and second, Trump has spent thousands to support both the Clintons over the years, and it's not because he didn't like their policies.

In fact, the Clintons may actually be the leading recipients of Trump's substantial largesse.

A huge banner flying outside the University of Chicago Trump event, which he canceled to prevent violence from breaking out, may have been dead on. It called Trump a "False Flag Candidate for Hillary."

I said exactly the same thing in a post in mid January.

The Democratic leadership has been shoving Hillary down our throats since the get go. She's been the party's 2016 presumptive nominee since she got knocked out of presidential race in 2008 by Barack Obama and then threw her support to him.

It all smells of an old-fashioned back-room deal to give loyal Hillary her turn.

Trump's nearly-certain nomination will tear the GOP electorate to shreds in the general election, while most Sanders supporters will hold their noses and tick the box for Hillary.

Remember that Trump has put together an amazing string of victories with no more than a plurality of voters. That means only a fraction of the electorate actively supports him.

What it all comes down to is that a vote for Trump now is a vote for Hillary later, even if he becomes president.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Time to Call the Monster What It Is

Good morning from Las Vegas Friends,

As voting proceeds in the half dozen or so states that comprise Second Super Tuesday, it looks as if my predictions of a Donald Trump sweeping victory, and the attrition of Marco Rubio and John Kasich, will become reality.

This could also be a very good day for Bernie Sanders.

The latter, I believe, moves the American political discourse forward and is a good thing. The former is ominous.

Donald Trump, despite what he or his sycophants tell the media, is a very dangerous man. He makes people feel better by pandering to their anger and frustration, and encouraging them to vent those demons by physically attacking their fellow countrymen.

There is no place for this in American politics or in America for that matter.

When Trump talks of loving whomever he attacks after attacking them, a large number of his followers don't hear the 'love' part of his message, only the attack. Then, Trump tells them he'd like to see someone punched in the face, and his most obsequious followers do it.

Trump also has those attending his massive rallies take a loyalty oath to vote for him.

This is very scary stuff, Friends, and it's an awful lot like what was happening in Germany in the late 1930's.

That's right! I never said anything like what you're saying I said, and if you keep
saying I said what I didn't say, I'll kill you...and I didn't say that.
Oh that Adolph, he seemed like a nice enough guy. He really made me laugh,  and when he spoke, God, he really gave me chills. And that damned jeweler my family's been buying from since great grossmutter was a kleine kinder has been ripping me off for four generations now. Smashing his storefront window is what he deserved. At least that's what Adolph said last night.

It's time to stop calling Donald Trump, 'The Donald'. It makes him seem somehow warm, cute and cuddly.

It's time to start calling the monster exactly what it is...horrific.


Inciting Americans to shamelessly attack their neighbors, then denying doing such a thing, is indicative of several character traits, none of which is flattering.

My guess is that Trump knows exactly what he's doing, and his campaign is a cynical manipulation of the lowest element of the American electorate, simply to get himself nominated.

I would bet that a Trump presidency would look a lot less like candidate Trump, and a lot more like the first American royal family with a somewhat beneficent dictator at the helm.

I hope we never get there.

Sunday, March 13, 2016

I'll be Back in a Flash with Fresh Posts

Hello dear Friends,

My wife Lana and I are on the road for the next 12 days arranging for our new home in our old home town of Las Vegas, into which we'll be moving on April 3rd.

In the meantime, please forgive me if my posts are not quite as frequent over the next week and 5/7.
I promise I'll make use of every spare moment I get to deliver a fresh post to you.

Thanks in advance for enduring our move from Washington state back to Nevada.

Friday, March 11, 2016

GOPers Make Nice, So What Happens Next?

Congratulations Friends,

We've made it to the end of another grueling political week. The four remaining GOP candidates got so tired of fighting one another, they called a truce and actually debated the issues last night; a genuine breath of fresh air.

At this point, it's virtually a forgone conclusion that Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination, but there are a couple of scenarios that could emerge this coming Second Super Tuesday, that could make the process more interesting.

Both Florida and Ohio are winner-take-all primaries that each have favorite sons in the race. In the case of Florida, actually two.
Thanks for finally putting my picture on your
blog. Why is it I'm always having to fight for
some attention?

Ohio Governor John Kasich stands a chance of taking his home state and all its 66 delegates, thereby making him a relevant factor in denying Trump the 1,237 delegates he needs for nomination.

Both Marco Rubio and The Donald can legitimately claim Florida as their home state. Neither is a native, but both are long-term residents, and Trump has literally generated millions of dollars in taxes for the state and created tens of thousands of jobs, as he likes to claim.

People in Florida appreciate what Trump has done for the state's economy, and his double-digit lead over the state's junior senator shows it.

If Rubio were, by some odd chance, to win Florida's 99 delegates, while Kasich wins Ohio, Trump's nomination would be far less of a certainty, but a probability nonetheless.

My prediction is that The Donald, looking and sounding very presidential last night, will have an equally big night on Tuesday, squeaking by Kasich in Ohio, and trouncing Rubio in Florida.

Ben Carson, possibly looking to be surgeon general, threw his support to the candidate he now sees as the presumptive nominee. With Gov. Chris Christie, that now puts two high-profile former candidates in Trump's camp.

I predict that we'll be seeing more big-name endorsements for Trump shortly and the race whittle down to Trump vs. Cruz after Tuesday.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

History Will Give Him a Break

Good morning Friends,

Today's post is going to be a bit different.

I'm not going to talk about how disgusting it is to me that the mainstream media is so obviously toeing the Democratic party line in their not-so-subtle support of Hillary Clinton.

An example that really irked me: no network was willing to call the Michigan primary for Bernie Sanders until 96% of the votes were in, even though he led that race from the outset and his lead never faltered.

This affront followed the week-long party-sanctioned  narrative that it was virtually mathematically impossible for Bernie to win...the clear implication being not to waste your vote on him.

Hillary was actually on the stump saying that it was time to get this thing over with now, so she could concentrate on the general election. What chutzpah!

Even this week, with momentum clearly on Sanders' side and building, the stubborn media continues to spout the party's inane narrative that Hillary's nomination is a forgone conclusion. Maybe they've repeated it so much, they actually believe it.

The people are speaking--loudly. And the media needs to pay attention.
Okay, so I have a big head.  So if I can't have a big head, who CAN have a big head? 

But that's not what I wanted to write about this morning.

Friends, we recently achieved and are still in the longest economic upturn in human history. We've had continual economic growth for more than six years straight.

Mankind has never witnessed this kind of economic growth spree, which if anything, seems to be building.

Whatever you think about the Obama administration, there's no denying this all happened under his watch.

So what are the Republicans saying?

Obama should have done BETTER!

I say MALE BOVINE EXCREMENT!

No one ever has, and that includes you.

Your criticism of the president is patently absurd, and while I don't expect you to heap praise on your rival's leader, you are making yourself look ridiculously detached from reality.

No matter. History will be the judge of the Obama administration. I'm betting he'll stack up pretty well, especially against his Republican predecessor.

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Welcome to a Whole New World

Happy Hump Day Friends,

As I knew they would, the voters of Michigan felt The Bern yesterday, and we woke up to a whole new world this morning.

I've been saying since the South Carolina primary that Hillary Clinton would be unable to win in the traditional blue states because she's losing the white vote, and Bernie Sanders' message would soon start to resonate with a significant portion of the black electorate.

That's exactly what happened in Michigan. Instead of getting just 10 to 15% of black votes as he did in the deep southern states won by Hillary (and all likely to be captured by the GOP in the general election), Bernie drew more than 30% of  the black vote in Michigan.

What? You mean I won Michigan? Wow! Everyone went home already. Oh well, I'll
just do it all over again next week.

I said in my post of February 21 that Bernie would win the nomination, if he could just capture a slightly bigger chunk of the black vote. He did it in Michigan.

The Bern basically split black voters under 29 years old  50-50 with Hillary, and that's what decided the contest. I predict that Bernie will be able to rinse, lather, and repeat this same strategy clear across the whole northern and west-coast tier of urban blue states. He's got genuine momentum now.

Too bad for Hillary. She's again staring d'feet in d'face.

GOP pundits have been pointing to their record turnouts, but the fact is that Sanders beat Trump by more than 100,000 votes in Michigan yesterday. Also, the 700,000+ Michigan GOP voters who chose candidates other than Trump, are not likely to flock to The Donald in the general election.

Most likely they'll run the other way fast. They'll either vote for the Democrat or not at all.

As we look at the landscape of this morning's new world, the likelihood of a face-off between Sanders and Trump is exponentially greater.

Some of the Democratic leadership has slowly started leaking away from Clinton (Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Sen. Elizabeth Warren). Watch for more and more high-profile Dems and big-name celebrities to move into Bernie's camp.

Once momentum slips away, it takes a major disruption to get it back.

I've got my best pundit's hat on now, and as I gaze into my crystal ball, I can't see that happening for Hillary.


Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Bernie's Moment of Truth


Good Michigan primary day Friends,

Today might otherwise be considered a pretty average primary day, with just a few scattered contests around the country. But today is make or break for Bernie Sanders.

His campaign will be watching Michigan very closely. A win would give Bernie tremendous momentum heading into next week's Super Second Tuesday, with  Florida, Illinois, and Ohio as big prizes.

If Bernie loses, however, any hopes he may actually have had of being the party's nominee are realistically gone, unless something unexpected takes Hillary Clinton out of the race.

There's no way the numbers of  delegates he needs for nomination can add up in his favor.

The question then becomes will Bernie stick around to be the moral compass of the Democratic party?

He has always said he'll stick out the primaries to the bitter end, and if Michigan goes Hillary's way, it could be bitter for Bernie indeed.

Michigan is illustrative of big northern urban states, and if Sanders has made it onto the radar of the state's minority voters, we'll find out tonight.

Hillary never thought it would end this way. That little flake looked so
harmless when it fell off Bernie's head. 
As he says; if voter turnout is Yuge, his results will be too. In Michigan's open primary, any registered voter can choose either party. CNN is already reporting that lifelong Republicans are jumping parties to feel The Bern.

And he never ceases to surprise us. His campaign, so far, has been close to  miraculous.

If he loses tonight, granted, it may be best for Bernie to back off and let Hillary run with the ball so her focus can totally be on the general election.

But if Bernie takes Michigan, that ball becomes one giant snowball rolling down hill, and it has Hillary's name on it.

Monday, March 7, 2016

Bernie Stomps Hillary Twice in One Night

Good work week Friends,

I'm sure not too many of you watched last night's Democratic debate from Flint, Michigan. In my humble opinion, it was a tour de force for Bernie Sanders.

He succeeded at nearly every turn in pushing Hillary Clinton's positions to the left, closer to his own, save for gun control.

There he made Hillary's gun control policies appear to upend the 2nd Amendment, causing American gun manufacturers to fail by making them liable for damages caused by their products.

What went little noticed, is that while Bernie was dominating the debate, he was doing even better in Maine. There, he beat Hillary Clinton by more than 28 points in the Democratic Caucuses.

Now every one of you white folks go out there and bring back a black friend. All these
white faces are getting embarrassing!
Go back to last Wednesday's post where I said that Hillary can't win the white vote, and Maine is further evidence of that. It also portends trouble for the Democrats if she eventually is their nominee.

I don't believe Bernie supporters will fall into lock step and vote for Hillary in the general election. Nearly as many who go for Hillary are likely to vote for Donald Trump, or simply not vote at all.

These are the disaffected white middle-class, grass-roots supporters to whom both outsider candidates hold appeal.

In a Clinton/Trump face off, there may be record turnout, but it would be the rare instance where big turnout helps a Republican. Trump and Sanders are the two candidates inspiring so many first-time voters...not Clinton.

The media and the Democratic party establishment seem bent on Hillary becoming the party's nominee, even though Bernie is winning by large margins virtually all the contests in traditional blue states.

Hillary can prove only that she's capable of winning primaries in states the party writes off to the GOP in the general election anyway. If Santa Claus ran as a Democrat there, he'd lose.

Do the math, and it doesn't add up to the Oval Office for Hillary Clinton. This is why polls show Bernie Sanders is the one Democrat that beats all comers.

Bernie wins the white middle class vote in the big northern states, and that's the path to victory--not sweeping the black vote in the south.

Racial politics is an uneasy thing to talk about, and party leaders are denying they have a problem.

It would go better for them to face the reality that black Democrats are more likely to support Bernie Sanders if the party nominates him, than are Bernie's white supporters to rally to Hillary Clinton.

Black voters are extremely loyal to the party, but that's not so for many of Bernie's backers, who are either new to politics or have otherwise looser ties.

Perhaps its time for the party to welcome these voters totally into the Democratic tent and, at least, take its collective finger off Hillary's scale.

Sunday, March 6, 2016

Trump 'Hands' Cruz Two Victories

Happy Sunday Friends,

Everyone's saying Ted Cruz now has the momentum in the GOP race for president, after he won another two caucus states yesterday.

Kansas, chock full of evangelicals, was not a Yuge surprise. But right-leaning northern secular Maine was.

And Maine was a signal to the GOP and to Donald Trump, that the voters there were finally getting weary of the campaign being about penis size and flop sweats. They sent a shot across the bow by choosing the one viable candidate who's sidestepped the food fight and stayed on message.

The Donald, one of the world's quickest studies, is already stumping about how the party should be 'coming together' but he's got a big problem--his hands.

My index fingers are not unusually short. Tiny thumb? Ask Melania how tiny my thumb is.

Marco Rubio, who's candidacy is clearly on its last gasp, managed the most damaging shot fired at Trump so far in the campaign, and it's exposing Trump's underlying pathology.

He is a consummate narcissist, and he's got the equivalent of a Napoleon complex about his slightly smaller than average hands. Wow. His vulnerability is his vanity, and Rubio hit the bullseye.

The result has been negative for Rubio in reaction to his getting down into the mud with The Donald.
But by staying out of the fight, Cruz has reaped the benefits of Rubio's direct hit.

At this point, the best result for the GOP establishment, since Trump is already so far ahead in delegates, is no clear winner going into this summer's Cleveland convention. Then, the GOP nominee could be anyone from Ted Cruz to Mitt Romney.

Trump, even with his obvious mental illness, has yet to be beaten in a primary rather than a caucus state. And we're about to run out of caucus states.

If Cruz has any strength in actual primaries, it will be demonstrated on the next Super Tuesday, March 15, when the first winner-take-all primaries begin. In those, where Trump has substantial leads, only the winner gets delegates, and the big prize is Florida with 99.

Will Trump's hands be his downfall? It's clear that his vulnerability has been exposed. If Trump can't zip it back up soon, we'll find out how much size actually matters.

Friday, March 4, 2016

Trump Campaign Seinfeldian?

Good Friday morning Friends,

Big Ears. Small Hands. Big Head. Spray Tan. Chins. Bad Hair. Little Marco. Lyin' Ted. This is the level of the 2016 Republican presidential race.

The thing is, two of the physical insults come directly from the Bad Breaker Upper episode of Seinfeld.

In that episode, an otherwise extremely attractive guy, who's caught Elaine's eye, is accosted several times in her presence by several really angry exes. She can't figure it out.

Why Elaine? Why did you call me Horse Face?
It turns out, he's like the world's worst breaker upper.

And Elaine finds out why, when he finally breaks up with her. He calls her "Big Head," and she becomes absolutely obsessed with how big her head is.

It's all she can think about, and then things actually start to happen to her because her head is so large--things like birds trying to nest in her hair.

The same guy called George Costanza "Chins," and it about killed him.

I believe Donald Trump saw this episode and took it to heart. He absolutely uses the tactic.

Unfortunately, it's backfired.

Marco Rubio's 'Small Hands' comment scored a direct hit. Not only does it take a smack at Trump's vanity, but it calls his manhood into question, as Marco is wont to coyly point out with a well-worn simile.

As John Oliver first observed on his HBO show Last Week Tonight on Sunday, Trump can't get this comment out of his head. And he proved that again in the GOP debate last night. He brought it up himself right from the get go.

If the old saying is true and a week is a year in politics, Trump's small hands have real traction (no snarky comment here about him being a master debater).

He seems to pretty much shake off comments about his hair and bad spray-on tan, but where this crazy election is headed right now is in every way in Trump's hands.

Thursday, March 3, 2016

This is Big! Server Guy to Spill

Flash Friends!

Bryan Pagliano, who'd been taking the 5th Amendment with the Justice Department since the Fall, has accepted immunity from prosecution for his testimony.

Oh, I'm sorry. This is a picture of a cooked goose. It was supposed to be Hillary Clinton.
Pagliano is Hillary Clinton's former aide at the US State Department who set up her private email server, and the 5th Amendment refers to self incrimination.

Though the Clinton campaign is spinning this as something positive, if Pagliano has anything to say that would have incriminated him, it incriminates Hillary Clinton as well.

If the matter isn't cleared up soon, it can't help but to impact her campaign.

I've said over and over that Hillary's legal headaches would continue to dog her, and they are. This is about to get serious for her.

Romney Rumbles, Breaks Bromance

Dearest Friends,

The love affair between Mitt Romney and Donald Trump is over. Four years ago, candidate Romney, seeking Trump's endorsement, couldn't find enough praise to heap on The Donald. Now Romney says Trump's a "phony and a fraud."

The Donald replied by calling Romney a terrible candidate and a loser.

I know I'm handsome. I look like Rock Hudson don't I?
He was gay? Forget I said that.
Word is, Romney is thinking about making a third-party run backed by the leadership of the Republican party. This is just at the strong rumor stage right now, but I'm sure Romney's hearing it too.

His speech to the University of Utah this morning seemed like he's testing the waters.

The question is, will the rumor become a self-fulfilling prophecy?

A Romney run makes sense from a strategic point of view for the GOP establishment. It could be the only way the party holds together and maintains control of the senate.

Though a Romney candidacy concedes defeat to the Democrats in the general presidential election, it at least gives the  remnants of the GOP establishment a palatable candidate and may negate Trump's impact on congressional races.

A strong Trump victory in the presidential race will inexorably change the face of the Republican party, which Romney and the rest of the GOP establishment won't abide.

Fireworks are certain to fly between Trump and Romney for at least the next few days. And it's a double-edged sword. While Romney is cutting up Trump, the brouhaha keeps the spotlight and narrative squarely on The Donald.

Unless Romney actually runs as a third-party option, his oral attack on Trump will do nothing but help the frontrunner, Trump will sweep this Saturday's contests in five Red or Red-leaning states.

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Hillary Can't Win Non-Black States

An early post Friends,

Well, how about this. Save for a razor-thin loss in Massachusetts yesterday, Bernie Sanders won all the states where the majority of Democratic voters weren't black.

This is YUGE!

Hillary here, Hillary there, Hillary, Hillary, Hillary. Ain't no Bernie box anywhere!
Hillary is only winning in the South and can't attract a majority of white voters. Winning the South also means Hillary is only winning in Red States.

Those states, like Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas, and South Carolina, won't vote for her or any other Democrat in the general election. They're a write off for the party and are pretty meaningless.

Only Bernie Sanders seems able to win big in the Blue States like Vermont, New Hampshire, and Minnesota--the states that vote for Democrats. The ones that mean something.

Maybe that's why a poll released yesterday showed that Bernie was the one candidate who could beat any GOP contender, while Hillary could only eek out a close win against Donald Trump and would lose to Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio.

I predicted yesterday that Super Tuesday would cloud the Democratic picture, and I was right. Neither Hill nor The Bern are in a decisive position.

Bernie, I know you read this blog, and I hope you're reading today's post. You still have a clear path to victory despite what other pundits say. That $42 million you raised in February belies the naysayers.

Please don't do an about face and drop out of the race like Ben Carson did today.  Please keep pushing Hillary to adopt all the rest of your positions. The political revolution you want is already starting.


Tuesday, March 1, 2016

GOP Between a Trump and a Hard Place

Good Super Tuesday Friends,

We've finally reached it; the first Yuge day of the presidential primary season, otherwise known as Super Tuesday.

The outcome on the GOP side is a forgone conclusion. Donald Trump will win 10 out of 11 states, and Ted Cruz will take his home state of Texas.

All this punditry gives me a headache. I won YUGE
and that's the story. Period.
By the end of the day, Donald Trump will have an insurmountable lead, and the pundits will be having to talk about the also-rans to fill the 24-hour news cycle.

Even with Trump's latest snafu regarding his flaccid rejection of the Ku Klux Klan's backing, he's still managed to lasso the day's narrative and maintain the media's focus.

This latest kerfuffle won't even chink The Donald's armor. To the contrary, all his gaffes seem to temper it and invariably improve his standing with his wingnut supporters.

Where does this leave the Republican party? In complete chaos.

There will be no establishment candidate in 2016, save for possibly Trump's running mate.

Ah the memory! Don't count on seeing this again any
time soon if Donald Trump gets the nomination.
With Trump as its nominee, the GOP will shatter. Don't be surprised to see a mass exodus of party regulars and the formation of something else.


Party leaders, who've already conceded the presidential race to the Democrats, are loathe to lose control of the senate too. And they see that as the unhappy consequence of Trump's negative coattails, with no clear path under Trump to get it back.

I won't get into piling on the GOP, like many of my colleagues, and say they made this bed for themselves, and now they're going to have to sleep in it.

Suffice to say, the political revolution Bernie Sanders talks about is happening; but on the other side of the aisle, and it's not pretty.