Though the GOP primary went nearly as I predicted, with Trump collecting all but Ohio last night, the Democratic races went way better for Hillary Clinton than I forecasted they would.
On the Republican side, Marco Rubio got drubbed in Florida, and dropped out of the presidential race.
Governor John Kasich, however, managed enough support from his home state of Ohio to stay in the race and keep the GOP picture partly cloudy.
Unless Bernie Sanders can start winning by around 20 points in each of the remaining contests, Hillary will be the Democratic nominee. That is, of course, unless her nagging legal headaches crop up and bite her any time between now and the Democratic convention in late July.
But consider this: a vote for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton in the remaining primaries is truly a vote for Hillary Clinton.
 |
| C'mon Hill, You know I love you, and you can't say I never give you anything. |
Former Bill Clinton administration official, John Podesta, may have explained what's happening best.
Podesta said Dems who would have, under more normal circumstances, taken a chance on Bernie Sanders, voted for more mainstream Hillary because they're terrified of a Trump presidency. They believe Hillary has a better chance of beating him than Bernie does.
The irony is twofold: first, Sanders actually polls better against Trump than Hillary does, and second, Trump has spent thousands to support both the Clintons over the years, and it's not because he didn't like their policies.
In fact, the Clintons may actually be the leading recipients of Trump's substantial largesse.
A huge banner flying outside the University of Chicago Trump event, which he canceled to prevent violence from breaking out, may have been dead on. It called Trump a "False Flag Candidate for Hillary."
I said exactly the same thing in a post in mid January.
The Democratic leadership has been shoving Hillary down our throats since the get go. She's been the party's 2016 presumptive nominee since she got knocked out of presidential race in 2008 by Barack Obama and then threw her support to him.
It all smells of an old-fashioned back-room deal to give loyal Hillary her turn.
Trump's nearly-certain nomination will tear the GOP electorate to shreds in the general election, while most Sanders supporters will hold their noses and tick the box for Hillary.
Remember that Trump has put together an amazing string of victories with no more than a plurality of voters. That means only a fraction of the electorate actively supports him.
What it all comes down to is that a vote for Trump now is a vote for Hillary later, even if he becomes president.
No comments:
Post a Comment