Wednesday, March 23, 2016

No Surprises in Yesterday's Contests

Happy Hump Day Friends,

I'm sitting here at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas this morning, waiting for a 9 a.m. flight to Indianapolis. This may be my final post for the next four days because I'll be on a road trip driving a restored 1971 MGB from Fort Wayne, IN to our new home here.

Meantime, the results of yesterday's primaries and caucuses were only surprising in the magnitude of Bernie Sanders' victories in Idaho and Utah, both open caucus states, where he trounced Hillary Clinton by more than 50 points in each. The people are speaking out, and it's not for Hillary.
Didn't have enough bandwidth for two photos this morning, so I
created this. Now here's a candidate that can't possible lose.

She managed only to win in Arizona, a closed primary where the majority of registered Democrats in a very red state fall right into her demographic--old and effete.

Bernie's big wins were just what he needed to start eating into Hillary's unearned lead, consisting of mostly Super Delegates. These are party regulars and elected officials who hop to the party's commands, and at this point they're still backing a loser.

Watch for Sanders to make an impressive sweep of western states, starting with Washington state on Saturday. He'll also take Oregon and California quite easily. This will cause a great tumult within the blue party leadership and place Hillary's phony delegate lead under the pundits' microscope.

Fortunately for Bernie, if he keeps winning with margins like those in Idaho and Utah, Hillary won't be able to hang on to the lead very much longer...even with her Super Delegates.

The GOP contests went pretty much as expected. Trump won by double digits over both Ted Cruz and John Kasich combined in Arizona, where the Mormon Church is not a big influence.

In Utah, where arch-conservative Mormons run the state with an iron fist, the church openly campaigned against Trump, using  a recording of favorite son Mitt Romney to robo-call registered Republicans, predominantly Mormon, in support of Ted Cruz.

The implication was clear. They'd have some 'splainin' to do in their church wards if they didn't vote for Cruz.  So, of course, they did.

This won't be enough to save the Cruz campaign from the Trump steamroller. As I said in yesterday's post, Trump is getting a bump from yesterday's terrorist attacks in Brussels, and he's got until the next contest on April 5th in Wisconsin to work it.

Interestingly, the rest of the media has finally caught up to me, and is openly talking about a Trump/Cruz ticket, a prediction I made on the first day of this blog in mid January when there were still 17 GOP candidates.

See, I promised to give you information that would make you look like a genius. Hey Michael Smerconish, I hope you're paying attention. I'm still waiting for my guest commentator slot on your show.

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