I hope you watched both debates this weekend. If you did, you probably noticed the difference in tenor between the two. It really pointed up the disparity in sophistication between the two parties, but that's been hashed and rehashed and it's not what I'm going to talk about this morning.
What I'd like to talk about today is Ohio Gov.John Kasich's decision to rise above the fray and be the only positive voice among the six remaining GOP candidates. He's decided that he will not get involved in the general melee his opponents apparently favor.
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| We can do this without being negative. Whaddya mean we can't? Screw you! |
Hate to say it, but I think it will lead him straight to the agony of defeat.
Governor Kasich is up against an electorate that wants blood after seven years of a rabid liberal Democrat in the White House who, oh yeah, happens not to be white like most of them.
Kasich is nothing if not the quintessential establishment policy wonk and generally good guy, who has the demeanor and experience which in a normal year would make for a pretty good presidential candidate.
And there is a chance, if the voters were to come to their senses, Kasich could be their nominee. But I don't think it will happen.
If you combine the South Carolina poll numbers of fringe candidates Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, you have a healthy majority of 52+%.
I've said since the second post on this blog that Trump and Cruz will bury the hatchet and team up, and there's no way any of the remaining establishment-leaning candidates can find a way to put together the kind of numbers needed to defeat them.
That means, Kasich's Mr. Nice Guy will go down in flames, just like in the old saying. I guess even the most hackneyed adage has some basis in truth.
In this instance, it would make me almost as happy to be wrong.
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